During
the negotiations leading up to the 2012 Collective Agreement AMAPCEO President,
Gary Gannage told us during a town-hall
that the Employer told the bargaining team that “Because of the down-sizing of
RIM and other places we are going to be able to get IT folks at a dime a dozen.
That’s what they said. I don’t agree with it, but that is what they said. Now
that being said, there is no forecast that says that people will be red-circled
for five years. I don’t know how anyone
gets that impression. It is possible
that there could be constrained for that period of time. That being said we are back at bargaining in
two years time and we’ll have to find out where things are going to lay at that
point.”
Well
that point is now. RIM is still here,
albeit a slimmer version, as are most ‘other places’. Has anything really changed? Despite the Employer’s disingenuous assertion
IT folks are a dime a dozen IT folks
are not a dime a dozen, in fact it is quite the opposite. While it may seem
intuitive that the rapid growth of both consumer and business technology would
make Information and
Communications Technology (ICT) one of the most desirable fields for new job-market entrants, Industry
Canada data shows that in 2011 the year before the last agreement was signed
that the number of ICT workers as a percentage of the total workforce declined
from 3.6% in 2002 to 3.3%. Another research
study released 2011 this time by the Information
and Communications Technology Council (ICTC) projected an across-the-board
increase in demand of 106,000 IT workers in Canada (or about 19%) between 2011
and 2016 with few new market entrants available to fill them.
The Canadian Business Education Partnership, a
not-for-profit organization that advocates on key issues impacting career
exploration and workforce development cites a 2011 study undertaken by them
that indicates Canada will be confronting a shortage of information and
communications technology labour over the next five years. The CBEP says that in
Ontario, about 51,000 information and communication technologies jobs will need
to be filled in the next five years.
Some dime. Some dozen.
Moreover,
in a press release dated October 28th, 2013, the Information
Technology Association of Canada (ITAC) and Information and Communications
Technology Council (ICTC) that the reality is that while the ICT industry’s unemployment rate is less than
3% their research shows that over 100,000 critical ICT jobs will need to be
filled by 2016. The report’s author John
O’Grady of Prism Economics and Analysis, says too that declining enrolment in
post-secondary programs and increased difficulty bringing temporary skilled
workers to Canada, those employees will be difficult to find.
So now the Employer’s argument that IT folks are a
dime a dozen is contradicted by both Industry Canada and empirical studies conducted by industry organisations, yet
our Employer continues to pare down the number of internal IT positions. One
really has to begin to wonder why.
Clearly the evidence would point towards an argument that IT folks are
indeed a scarce resource that should be encouraged to stay within government.
But
moving on, the shortage of skilled ICT professionals has not been lost on people such
as Chris Alexander, Federal Minister of Citizenship and Immigration, who in
September of 2013 while speaking to attendees at a National Bank of Canada
event conveyed his concerns about Canada’s labour shortage. Alexander pressed business owners to
communicate with the government and help raise awareness for the specific
skills needed to sustain this country’s labour force. “Skill shortages are literally on our
doorsteps,” he warned. “Let’s not forget how competitive this [immigration]
market is … the fierce competition for the most competent people.” Yet our Employer denies that the reality of
the skills shortage in the ICT sector and implies that there is a glut of talented ICT people in the market place - at least to us but to the voting public
they are a little less disingenuous and recognize the need and admit to shortages.
As
recently as February 19th our own Immigration and Citizenship
Minister Michael Coteau said Ontario could set targets for attracting more
skilled immigrants. Couteau then goes on
to say the changes would help Ontario lure experts in fields like information
technology, where there are shortages, and run a larger program than the one
that now brings 100,000 new residents annually.
“We’ve seen skilled immigrants choosing other jurisdictions and other
provinces in North America because there are opportunities.” I guess that would
happen when you chose not to pay them a fair market salary.
Stepping
back two years, in a September 11, 2012 article in the Financial Post, Sharif Faisal, chief economist for the ICTC writes “All Employers are being very cautious
about giving [pay] raises and holding onto their cash, but that’s not the case
for ICT professionals,” “They’re constantly getting raises. They’re 3% higher
[today] than what they were getting in January.” Except of course where the salaries are
frozen and if the Employer has their way will remain frozen for another four
years.
This
all makes me wonder what the real end game is. Is it simply cost cutting? After
all IT folks are amongst the highest paid in the provincial government and
therefore an obvious target if you are a bean counter who knows the cost of everything and the value of nothing. Or does this behavior over
the last few years point to another scenario?
Perhaps one where the object is for government to get out of the
business of employing full time IT folks with the endgame being to hand over the entire operation to
third parties such as IBM, HP, or some other large IT outsourcer who will in
turn outsource the work to a poorly paid, well educated, workforce in India. Or is it simply short-sightedness brought on
by a looming debt crisis caused on by spend thrift politicians out to garner
votes at any cost.
If
you are particularly interested in more important discussion about the shortage
of skilled information and communication technology (ICT) workers in Canada (Industry
Canada (2010) Improving Canada's Digital
Advantage; IBM (2012) Fast Track to
the Future; and Information and Communications Technology Council (2011), Outlook for Human Resources in the ICT
Labour Market, 2011-2016).